Sooner we accept the reality that COVID-19 will not go away soon,
the better equipped we shall be to endure it. Moreover, when it does go, it won’t
be a definitive ending like a project completion, It would fade away rather slowly
with only statistics to confirm its departure.
Our history syllabus although designed for a broad grasp of
major historical developments, missed out on the pandemics of the past
centuries. Absence of these from our collective subconscious left us out of depths
when COVID struck. Microbes were the invisible enemy then as now and the
survivors will be left behind licking the wounds like the in the past.
The Bubonic plague, which also originated in the East Asia continued
for 5 years from 1347 claiming an estimated 75 to 200 million scalps. The
Spanish flu of 1918 is more recent and continued for over a year claiming 17
to 50 million human lives.
If history is to be believed, a recession with unprecedented
impact on the global economy is inevitable. The jagged rocks will surface as
the tide recedes but we should use this crisis as an opportunity to rethink our
priorities. Undoubtedly, one of the biggest lessons is the necessity of private
and public investment in the health system.
The need for social distancing have shaken the foundation of
the very first pillar of civilization, the construction industry. With lockdown
in every other city, we suddenly found ourselves at the mercy of the new
estate, the digital estate. Not able to reach the offices, the A-E firms finally
jumped, albeit clumsily into the world of “work- from-home”.
Another equally old profession, teaching too witnessed similar
paradigm shift. After a brief pause, schools restarted classes using available technologies
as students got the taste of “Learn-from-home”.
In the coming days this clumsiness will disappear as the
change become more pervasive and the technology further augmented. Before we realize
the full implication of the changes, we will transition into the world where
these will be “new normal”.
The lean business models and where the employer does not pay
the utility bills or travel allowances is not expected to face resistance from the
business leaders.
Let’s visualize together what could be the “new normal”, looking
beyond face mask, 20 seconds’ hand wash, sanitizer and “work- from-home”:
- With more people working from home, the demand for office
spaces will decline.
- As people get used to shopping online, the demand of malls
too will also see a downward trend.
- When we spend more time at our homes, demand for spacious residences
are bound to increase. This might very well set a trend of people moving away
from the overcrowded cities.
- Freed up real-estate of the cities will require new
functions and new visionaries will arrive at the scenes to redefine the
societal priorities.
- A journey of trial & error will begin leading to innovation
and trend setting.
- Multifunctional areas that support work & leisure together
will evolve as people reinvent spaces for social interactions.
- The geographical boundaries and physical distance will become
even more irrelevant as students in the remote countryside will access superstar
instructors in megalopolis.
- Reduction of the carbon footprints at individual levels is bound to bring the clean air & starry nights to our cities.
· History will salutes the ones who embraces the chaos and opt
for a seamless transition into the world of “new normal”.